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TALA Consult Commodity Radar | July 2015

[EN] Every month our commodity radar provides you with an illustrative overview of the latest key figures of the most important raw materials from different sectors.

The radar is supposed to make it easy for you to gain a general view of the current raw material market situation, including energy, agricultural and metal markets. As latest returns, volatility and correlations are shown, it may even provide an indication as to whether an active risk management could be worthwhile for your company as well.

All figures are based on Euro prices. Current issue July 2015.

1. VOLATILITY RADAR
This radar illustrates the annualized volatility based on daily price data in Euro of the latest 3 months (except * and *²). The highest price movements are currently noticed in the markets for pork (51%), for crude oil WTI (38%) and for wheat (37%).

Volatility Radar | July 2015

April 2015 - June 2015

15-07 Volatility Radar

Source: TALA Consult Commodity Radar

* annualized volatility based on monthly data over the last 12 months

*² annualized volatility based on weekly data over the last 52 weeks

2. RETURN RADAR
The following chart displays the returns of the last 12 months for all our raw materials analysed (based on daily prices unless specified by *, *²). We have observed the strongest price increases in the markets for chicken (US wholesale price) with a return of +23.8%, for skimmed milk powder (f.o.b. Europe) +23.6% and for whole milk powder (f.o.b. Europe) +22.4%. In the same period prices have fallen the most in the markets for Brent crude oil (ICE London) -37.6%, WTI crude oil (NYMEX) -37.0% and pork (lean hogs, CME) -35.5%.

Return Radar | July 2015 | 1YEAR

June 2014 - May 2015

15-07 Return Radar All

Source: TALA Consult Commodity Radar

*returns based on monthly data over the last 12 months

*²returns based on weekly data over the last 52 weeks

You can find return charts for each sector in our monthly highlights blogs for energiesmetals and agriculture.


3. CORRELATION RADAR
The chart below shows negative as well as positive correlations between raw materials over the last 12 months (12 last day of month prices). Among others, this can be of great interest when cross-hedging strategies are considered. During the last year, a high positive correlation between Brent and WTI crude oil or the prices of live and feeder cattle could be noticed, whereas live cattle and WTI crude oil show a high negative correlation.

Correlation Radar | July 2015 | 1 YEAR

July 2014 - June 2015

15-07 Correlation Radar

Source: TALA Consult Commodity Radar

4. Additional information about all raw materials
Click on the raw materials below to receive more detailed information about historical price developments, exchange rate influences, returns and other key figures.

1. Crude Oil
2. Natural Gas
3. Wheat
4. Corn
5. Cotton
6. Soybeans
7. Cocoa
8. Sugar
9. Pork
10. Gold
11. Silver
12. Copper
13. Aluminium
14. Lead
15. Zinc
16. Nickel

Market places considered in this analysis:
Crude oil Brent (ICE Futures), Cruide oil WTI (NYMEX), Natural gas EU (c.i.f.), Natural gas US (NYMEX), Cotton (A-Index), Rice (5% Thailand f.o.b. Bangkok), Live Cattle (CME), Feeder Cattle (CME), Pork (lean hogs, CME), Chicken (US wholesale price), Wheat (Euronext Paris), Corn (Euronext Paris), Soybeans (C.i.f. Rotterdam), Cocoa (ICE Futures), Coffee (LIFFE), Sugar (LIFFE), Whole milk powder (f.o.b. Europe), Skimmed milk powder (f.o.b. Europe), Butter (f.o.b. Europe), Copper (LME), Aluminium (LME), Lead (LME), Zinc (LME), Nickel (LME), Gold (LBMA), Silver (LBMA)

Date of publication: 15 June 2015
Sources | Disclaimer | Methodology

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